2nd placed Borussia Dortmund blew off the cobwebs in spectacular fashion last weekend with a superb 4-0 derby win over a usually robust Schalke 04 outfit at the Signal Iduna Park.
Prolific Norwegian striker Erling Haaland’s opener was followed up by three more goals from Raphaël Guerreiro (two) and Thorgan Hazard to earn Dortmund their fifth Bundesliga victory on the spin and their eight in nine games overall.
Despite their excellent form, Dortmund are finding it tough to close the gap between them and Bayern at the summit of the table, though they will need to keep stringing the performances and wins together to maintain their title tilt.
Lucien Favre will expect his team to pick up another three points at 6th placed Wolfsburg this weekend, and with Jadon Sancho likely to be restored to the starting line-up, their already strong attacking hand will be further strengthened.
Die Wölfe, who needed a little help from VAR to see off Augsburg last week, were beaten just three times in 13 games at the Volkswagen Arena so far this season, and while they carry an impressive seven-match unbeaten run into Saturday’s assigment, their recent head-to-head record against Dortmund won’t fill them with confidence.
Wolfsburg were bested in eight of their last nine meetings with der BVB, and failed to register a single goal against them in any of their six encounters, including their 0-3 defeat to Dortmund in November last year.
We expect Dortmund to extend that fine record further at Wolfsburg’s expense in their latest clash this weekend, though Die Schwarzgelben’s defensive record on the road this season suggests Wolfsburg can notch a consolation.
Dortmund have shipped a notable 23 goals in their 13 away contests since August, a worrying total for a team chasing silverware. However, thanks to their embarrassment of riches further up the pitch, they generally have had the weapons in their armoury to outgun their hosts.
Both teams registered in 69% of Dortmund’s Bundesliga away fixtures overall in 2019/20, and with Wolfsburg’s leading man up front, Wout Weghorst back from injury, we think a home goal is likely on Saturday.
Combining those factors, the Dortmund and both teams to score market holds plenty of promise for this weekend’s game, while our correct score forecast settles on a 2-1 away win.
Wolfsburg are conceding just 1.0 goals per game at the Volkswagen Arena so far this season – a statistic that suggests Dortmund will have their work cut out to run up a weighty final scoreline. Favre’s fliers scored twice in each of their last two away wins, and we think another two goals will be enough to for them to clinch another victory.