Werder Bremen gave their survival hopes a lift with a precious three points at Freiburg on Saturday but may struggle to follow that up at home to Borussia Monchengladbach, who are in the thick of things for Champions League qualification.
Bremen were second best for large spells of Saturday’s 1-0 win at Freiburg, who enjoyed 63 per cent possession, won the shot count 14-6 and had a late leveller disallowed.
It was a first win in eight for Bremen and only their fifth of the season, but they are still six points off survival and their home form is somewhat concerning.
Florian Kohfeldt’s men have collected just five points in 12 home outings, netting only nine of their 29 goals on their own patch. And their record against Germany’s elite suggests they could be in store for another long evening at the Weserstadion.
Bremen have played eight matches against the division’s top five this season and have claimed just two points. They have conceded 25 goals (3.12 per game) in those outings which includes a 4-1 defeat at home to Bayer Leverkusen on Bundesliga’s return just over a week ago.
Borussia Monchengladbach suffered a 3-1 defeat at home to Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday but a trip to Werder Bremen provides the perfect opportunity to get back on the winning trail.
There are few teams operating at the level of Leverkusen at present and Monchengladbach could have fared better had they been more clinical with their finishing. They edged the shot count 17-14 and creating a similar number of chances against lowly Bremen should see them prevail.
The Foals have won three consecutive away games at Fortuna Dusseldorf, Augsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt, netting ten goals in the process, and the likes of Marcus Thuram, Alassane Plea and Lars Stindl give them a significant edge in attack.
It is also worth noting that Borussia Monchengladbach have played ten games against the Bundesliga’s bottom six this season and have won on every occasion. That includes a 3-1 home win over Bremen in November.
Both teams have scored in Borussia Monchengladbach’s last nine league outings and Werder Bremen’s threat on the counter attack should ensure they notch a consolation.
Bremen have netted in their last three games, including in a home defeat to Leverkusen just over a week ago, and the return of Davy Klaassen adds a lot of creativity to their midfield.
Those looking to have a bet on a correct score should opt for a 3-1 Monchengladbach win. The visitors won by that scoreline in the reverse fixture and they have netted exactly three goals in their last two away games.
However, Monchegladbach’s defensive frailties – no league clean sheet in ten – points to goals at both ends.