With a place in the top half of the 2. Bundesliga table within reach, 11th placed St. Pauli will hope to lean on their superb home form to upset promotion chasing Heidenheim on Wednesday.
St. Pauli will be relieved to be back in familiar surroundings this week after they were thumped 4-0 at Darmstadt at the weekend – a hammering that was their biggest defeat of the season so far.
At the at Millerntor-Stadion, their fortunes have been far more positive however. Their narrow 1-0 triumph over Nurnberg in their first game back after the campaign’s postponement extended their unbeaten record at home to six games, and St. Pauli were turned over just twice in their last 13 fixtures on their own turf overall since last August last year.
While that record suggests St. Pauli should be tough to beat on Wednesday, their form in Hamburg also hints that few goals should be expected when they line up against Heidenheim this week.
Under 2.5 goals bulged the net in three of their last four games at the Millerntor-Stadion, and that low scoring trend is something Die Kiezkicker supporters have been achingly familiar with this season.
In fact, no ground in the 2. Bundesliga has seen fewer goals overall this season to date than the Millerntor-Stadion – the net has rippled at that venue just 33 times in total in 14 games since the start of the 2019/20 campaign.
4th place Heidenheim travel to St. Pauli having scored just six times in their last 10 away games combined. Unsurprisingly, under 2.5 goals were scored in 70% of those matches, while Frank Schmidt’s charges managed to record just three wins on the road during the same period.
They should find it tough again to find joy against a St. Pauli defence that shipped a total of just five goals in their last eight home matches, and that should in turn lead to another low-scoring affair at the Millerntor-Stadion.
There was little to separate the teams when Heidenheim eked out a 1-0 win over St. Pauli in the reverse 2. Bundesliga meeting between the pair last year, and we expected their latest encounter to be similarly tight.
With those factors considered, the under 2.5 goals market looks a solid way to go for Wednesday’s game, while our correct score prediction tips St. Pauli to exact some revenge with a 1-0 win.
St. Pauli’s fine home form makes them a tough proposition and they can carve out a narrow win over a Heidenheim outfit that failed to get on the scoresheet in three of their last five games as the visiting team.