Despite winning only two of their seven games prior to the break and surrendering a four-point lead over Bayern and turning it into a five-point deficit, Leipzig can still be factored into the title reckoning.
No side has lost fewer league games than Leipzig (three) this term and their record of 26 goals conceded in 25 games is matched only by the league leaders.
Julian Nagelsmann’s youngsters have lost only one of their 12 matches at the Red Bull Arena and their attack is spearheaded by one of Europe’s hottest properties in Timo Werner, who has fired home 21 of their 62 league goals.
Werner, who has averaged a goal every 98 minutes this season, has a particularly strong record against Freiburg having notched ten times in 11 previous encounters.
Leipzig have averaged 2.9 goals on home soil this season and should reignite their title charge with a convincing victory over a Freiburg side who have collected just seven points in ten away trips since September.
The visitors’ only win on the road in that period came at fourth-bottom Mainz and having conceded four in away defeats at Borussia Monchengladbach and Cologne they could be in for a tough time in Leipzig.
But the hosts have managed just two clean sheets in 12 home outings this term which at least offers hope for Freiburg, who won October’s reverse fixture 2-1, to get on the scoresheet.
The sides have locked horns seven times in the Bundesliga since 2016 and Freiburg have failed to notch only once with both-teams-to-score backers rewarded on five of those occasions.
The Red Bulls have netted three or more goals in seven of their last ten home games in all competitions, which includes an 8-0 mauling of Mainz, and they can extend their impressive goalscoring record at the expense of frail visitors Freiburg.
Three of their last six showdowns on their own patch have resulted in 3-1 victories and with Werner supported in attack by Czech international Patrik Schick and Christopher Nkunku, goals should again be on the menu.
Freiburg have lost on each of their three top-flight trips to Leipzig, conceding ten times along the way, and it is difficult to see that trend coming to an end on Saturday, but they could get on the scoresheet.
With Leipzig averaging 2.9 goals at home but keeping just two clean sheets in 12 home outings we are also going for a 3-1 correct-score win.
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